Where do the candidates sit on the political spectrum? This compass maps each candidate on two axes — economic policy (left to right) and social values (authoritarian to libertarian) — based on AI analysis of their manifesto, public statements, and media coverage.
These positions are AI-generated estimates. They are derived from manifesto text, public statements, and media coverage using Azure OpenAI, not from candidate self-assessments. Scores are approximate and will be refined as more evidence is collected throughout the campaign. Candidates may hold nuanced views that a two-axis model cannot fully capture.
The compass measures policy positions, not character, competence, or suitability for office. A candidate's position on these axes says nothing about their integrity, their track record, or their ability to serve constituents.
While most MHKs stand as independents, the Isle of Man does have political parties. Understanding their traditions helps explain why candidates may appear in particular quadrants:
Founded in 1918, Manx Labour is the Island's oldest political party. Like labour and social-democratic parties worldwide, it traditionally advocates for workers' rights, public services, state intervention in the economy, and social welfare. Labour parties typically score left on the economic axis (favouring regulation, public ownership, and redistribution) and can vary on the social axis depending on their emphasis on collective action versus individual liberty. A left-authoritarian position is historically common for labour movements globally — reflecting a belief in strong state provision of services and regulation of markets for the common good, rather than any association with authoritarian governance.
Founded in 2006, Liberal Vannin combines economic centrism with social liberalism. The party emphasises transparency, accountability, and individual freedoms — typically placing members in the libertarian half of the compass with moderate economic positions.
The majority of IoM candidates stand as independents with no party affiliation. Their positions are entirely individual and based on personal conviction, professional background, and constituency priorities. This is why the political compass is particularly valuable on the Isle of Man — without party labels, it provides a framework for comparing where candidates actually stand on policy.
Well-known democratic political figures mapped for context, so you can compare where IoM candidates sit relative to world leaders.Source: American Government, Scott F. Abernathy (CQ Press). See Newsweek coverage.
Important: The political compass measures economic and social policy positions only. Sharing a quadrant or similar coordinates with a reference figure does not imply any similarity in character, conduct, values, or actions. Many democratic leaders occupy the same quadrants as historical figures with vastly different records.
All IoM candidate positions are AI-generated estimates based on manifesto analysis and public statements. They are approximate and will be refined as more evidence is collected. The Isle of Man's consensus-based, non-party system produces a much narrower range of positions than national politics in larger countries.
The horizontal axis measures economic policy preferences — how much the candidate believes the government should intervene in the economy versus letting market forces operate freely.
Strong state intervention. Higher taxes on wealth, nationalised services, universal public provision, wealth redistribution. “The government should provide.”
Pragmatic mix. Supports market economy with targeted regulation and public services. Most Isle of Man candidates sit near here — the island has no formal party system and tends toward pragmatism.
Minimal government intervention. Lower taxes, privatisation, deregulation, individual economic freedom. “The market should decide.”
The vertical axis measures social values — how much personal freedom the candidate believes individuals should have versus how much the state should enforce social norms.
Strong state authority over social matters. Stricter law enforcement, traditional values, immigration controls, national identity emphasis. “Society needs order.”
Balanced approach. Supports both individual freedoms and reasonable social guardrails. Pragmatic on immigration, policing, and cultural matters.
Maximum personal freedom. Progressive social policies, minimal state intrusion into personal life, open borders, civil liberties emphasis. “People should decide for themselves.”
Socially progressive and economically interventionist. Believes in collective ownership, strong public services, and individual social freedoms. Supports environmental protection, workers' rights, and social justice.
IoM context: Favour expanding NHS services, affordable housing schemes, environmental protections, while championing personal freedoms and community-led initiatives.
Socially progressive and economically free-market. Believes in individual freedom in both economic and personal spheres. Supports low taxes, deregulation, and personal liberty.
IoM context: The island's low-tax status and finance sector attract this perspective. Favour maintaining tax advantages, reducing bureaucracy, while supporting personal freedoms.
Economically interventionist with strong state authority. Believes in state-directed economy, public ownership, and centralised planning. Supports strict regulation and social order alongside wealth redistribution.
IoM context: Rare on the island. Might favour nationalising the Steam Packet, strict planning controls, and stronger government oversight of private sector activity.
Economically free-market with strong state authority on social matters. Believes in traditional values, national identity, strong law enforcement, and free enterprise. Supports immigration controls and social conservatism.
IoM context: Favour protecting Manx identity and culture, strict immigration work permits, strong policing, while maintaining the island's business-friendly tax regime.
The Isle of Man is unique in having no formal party system. Every MHK stands as an independent. This means the political compass is even more useful here than in party-based systems — there are no party labels to guide voters, so understanding each candidate's individual position is essential.
In practice, most IoM candidates cluster near the centre. The island's small size, consensus-based governance through Tynwald, and pragmatic political culture mean extreme positions are rare. However, meaningful differences exist on key issues:
These differences matter. A score of -2 vs +2 on housing policy could mean the difference between 500 new homes being built or not.
| Candidate | Constituency | Economic | Social | Quadrant |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Shimmin | Douglas Central | +2 | -4 | Authoritarian Right |
| Sarah Maltby | Douglas South | -6 | -7 | Authoritarian Left |
| Mark Firth | Arbory, Castletown & Malew | -2 | -1 | Authoritarian Left |
| Simon Williams | Rushen | -1 | +1 | Libertarian Left |
| Chris Thomas | Douglas Central | -3 | +3 | Libertarian Left |
| Andre Risha | Middle | +2 | 0 | Libertarian Right |
| Juan McGuinness | Ramsey | -2 | +1 | Libertarian Left |
| Gabriella Corkish | Onchan | -1 | +5 | Libertarian Left |
| Rob Callister | Onchan | -2 | 0 | Libertarian Left |
| Hugo Yates | Douglas North | 0 | +3 | Libertarian Left |
| Rachel Glover | Onchan | -2 | +3 | Libertarian Left |
| Laurence Vaughan-Williams | Rushen | -2 | -1 | Authoritarian Left |
| Oliver Lockwood | Onchan | +1 | +4 | Libertarian Right |
| Paul Weatherall | Ayre & Michael | -4 | -2 | Authoritarian Left |
| Julie Edge | Onchan | -1 | +2 | Libertarian Left |
| Lawrie Hooper | Ramsey | -2 | +3 | Libertarian Left |
| Sean Bostrom | Garff | -2 | +1 | Libertarian Left |
| Kirrie Jenkins | Arbory, Castletown & Malew | -2 | -1 | Authoritarian Left |
| Mary Phillips | Ayre & Michael | -2 | -1 | Authoritarian Left |
| Jeroen Wats | Arbory, Castletown & Malew | 0 | +2 | Libertarian Left |
| Peter Kermeen | Garff | -1 | +4 | Libertarian Left |
| Joney Faragher | Douglas East | -6 | -3 | Authoritarian Left |
| Michael Crowe | Rushen | +4 | -1 | Authoritarian Right |
| Anthony Allen | Garff | +1 | -1 | Authoritarian Right |
| James Hampton | Glenfaba & Peel | 0 | +1 | Libertarian Left |
| Jason Moore | Middle | -2 | -1 | Authoritarian Left |
| Michelle Haywood | Rushen | -4 | -2 | Authoritarian Left |
| Julia Bell | Ayre & Michael | -1 | +4 | Libertarian Left |
| Andrew Harris | Glenfaba & Peel | +4 | +1 | Libertarian Right |
| Daphne Caine | Garff | -2 | -3 | Authoritarian Left |
| Claire Christian | Douglas South | +1 | -2 | Authoritarian Right |
| Martyn Perkins | Garff | 0 | +3 | Libertarian Left |
| Stephen Broad | Ayre & Michael | +2 | -2 | Authoritarian Right |
| Aishlinn Creer | Garff | +1 | 0 | Libertarian Right |
| Mark Kemp | Rushen | +1 | 0 | Libertarian Right |
| Peter Washington | Douglas North | -3 | +4 | Libertarian Left |
| Andrew Saunders | Douglas East | +1 | +1 | Libertarian Right |
| Alex Perriam | Glenfaba & Peel | -2 | +2 | Libertarian Left |
| Katryna Baptist | Glenfaba & Peel | -1 | +4 | Libertarian Left |
| Colleen Dale-Beeton | Glenfaba & Peel | -2 | -1 | Authoritarian Left |
| Devon Watson | Douglas Central | -7 | -4 | Authoritarian Left |
| Simon Sinclair | Middle | -2 | +1 | Libertarian Left |
| Alf Caine | Middle | -2 | -3 | Authoritarian Left |
| Vicki Hewison | Garff | -1 | +1 | Libertarian Left |
| David Ashford | Douglas North | -2 | -1 | Authoritarian Left |
| Dave Mackey | Douglas East | +1 | +2 | Libertarian Right |
| Robert Cowell | Ramsey | +1 | +1 | Libertarian Right |
| Livia Lenarduzzi | Douglas South | +1 | 0 | Libertarian Right |
| Trevor Cowin | Glenfaba & Peel | +1 | +1 | Libertarian Right |
| Jane Poole-Wilson | Middle | +2 | -2 | Authoritarian Right |
| Alfred Cannan | Ayre & Michael | +2 | -2 | Authoritarian Right |
| Juan Christian | Arbory, Castletown & Malew | -2 | +1 | Libertarian Left |
| Jason Moorhouse | Arbory, Castletown & Malew | +2 | -2 | Authoritarian Right |
| Abby Quirk | Arbory, Castletown & Malew | -1 | +1 | Libertarian Left |
| Steve Curphey | Ayre & Michael | +1 | +4 | Libertarian Right |
| Tim Johnston | Ayre & Michael | +2 | +1 | Libertarian Right |
| James Cochrane | Middle | +1 | +4 | Libertarian Right |
| Denis Staunton | Douglas North | +1 | +1 | Libertarian Right |
32 candidates not yet scored — they will appear here once enough evidence has been collected and analysed.
Positions are estimated by AI (Azure OpenAI) from publicly available evidence: news articles, manifesto documents, social media, interviews, and Hansard records. The AI is given IoM-specific context and instructed to be balanced and evidence-based.
Limitations: These are estimates, not self-assessments. Candidates may position themselves differently in private. The AI works from available evidence, which may be incomplete for recently-announced candidates. Positions may shift as more evidence is collected throughout the campaign.
Updates: The compass is refreshed weekly as new evidence (news articles, manifesto updates, debates) is collected and analysed.
